Practical Journal of Organ Transplantation(Electronic Version) ›› 2025, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (6): 529-534.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-5332.2025.06.008

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The predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in short-term outcomes of patients after lung transplantation 

Zhu Yichao,Li Zhiyu,Xu Hongyang   

  1. Department of Critical Care Medicine,Wuxi People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University,Jiangsu Wuxi 214023,China
  • Online:2025-11-20 Published:2025-11-20

中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值对肺移植术后患者早期预后的预测价值

朱溢超,李芝宇,许红阳   

  1. 南京医科大学附属无锡人民医院重症医学科,江苏 无锡214023

Abstract:

Objective To investigate the predictive value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratiofor the short-term outcome of patients after lung transplantation by retrospectively analyzing the clinical data ofpatients after lung transplantation. Methods The clinical data of 81 patients with good early prognosis of lungtransplantation(30 d survival)and 39 patients with poor early prognosis of lung transplantation(30 d death)admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine of Wuxi People's Hospital affiliated with Nanjing Medical University from January 1,2020 to December 1,2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Independent risk factors for 30 d deathin lung transplant patients were explored by multifactorial logistic regression analysis. The predictive value of the NLR ratio for 30 d postoperative death in lung transplant patients was analyzed by plotting the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve. The patients were also grouped according to the optimal cut-off value,and Kaplan-Meiersurvival curves were plotted. Results Multifactorial logistic regression analysis showed that NLR(OR = 1.11,95%CI :1.03 ~ 1.19,P = 0.008),mechanical ventilation time(OR = 1.01,95%CI :1.01 ~ 1.01,P = 0.033)and PGD grade 3(OR = 6.07,95%CI :1.85 ~ 19.97,P = 0.003)were independent risk factors for 30 d mortality in lung transplant patients. The area under the curve(AUC)of NLR for predicting 30 d mortality in lung transplant patients was 0.674,and grouping based on the cutoff value to plot the Kaplan- Meier survival curve showed that the 30 d mortality rate of lung transplant patients in the NLR > 13.65 group was significantly higher than that in the NLR ≤ 13.65 group. Conclusion Preoperative NLR has a certain predictive value for the short-term outcomes of patients after lung transplantation.

Key words:

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, Lung transplantation, Short-term outcome, Predictive value

摘要:

目的 本研究对肺移植患者术后临床资料进行回顾性分析,分析中性粒细胞 / 淋巴细胞比值(neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio,NLR)与肺移植早期预后的关联性。 方法 数据采集时段设定为南京医科大学附属无锡人民医院 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 1 日,肺移植术后转入重症医学科的患者队列,30 d 内临床结局显示 81 例生存,39 例死亡。采用多因素 logistic 回归模型识别术后 30 d 死亡的关键危险因素,并采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线进行分析,评估 NLR 对术后30 d 死亡风险的预测能力,借助约登指数识别的最佳分界值对患者归组,继而绘制 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线,对比各组生存结局。 结果 多因素 logistic 回归分析显示 NLR(OR 1.11,95%CI1.03 ~ 1.19,P 0.008)、机械通气时间(OR 1.01,95%CI1.01 ~ 1.01,P 0.033)、PGD3 级(OR 6.07,95%CI1.85 ~ 19.97,P 0.003)可作为肺移植术后 30 d 病死率的独立预测因子。NLR 预测肺移植患者 30 d 病死率的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为 0.674,根据截断值进行分组绘制 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线可见 NLR 13.65 组肺移植患者的 30 d 病死率显著高于 NLR ≤ 13.65 组。 结论 术前 NLR 对于肺移植术后病人的短期结局有一定预测价值。

关键词: 中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值 , 肺移植 , 早期预后 , 预测价值